“The question is a silly
provocation,” said my American Jewish acquaintance. “Of course American Jewry
will never abandon Israel.” Then he thought for a moment and added: “unless,
Israel falls under the sway of irresponsible politicians, like your Lieberman
but even then…” He hesitated, lost in a number of imponderables and then asked
me: “Well, what do you mean abandon
Israel?”
I was ready: “This means being
unwilling or unable to prevent the destruction of the State of Israel. And you
just identified the first component of this doomsday scenario by suggesting
that someone like Lieberman might be so frightening to American Jews that they
would consider giving up on the country altogether.”
Indeed, thinking that Israel
might cease to exist is a mental taboo for most people, even those who daily
swear to support and protect it. But there has been no guarantee of any state’s
survival. At one time or another in this past century of uneasy memory, the
world allowed for the disappearance of Ethiopia, Poland, Latvia, Lithuania,
Estonia, Tibet, Czechoslovakia, Yugoslavia. Why not Israel?
And so I proceeded to lay out
reasons ‘why’ when’ and ‘how’ this may happen. My first argument was easy to
state:
“You are a life-long Democrat” I
told my vis-à-vis. “Like your family, the majority of American Jews are
embedded in the Democratic Party. While they pride themselves on making major
financial contributions, the actual number of Jews is not enough to affect the
party run today by many of the 60’s radicals. The party is quickly growing to
the left because its ranks are swelled by anti-war and anti-globalization
crowds, by the young and the disenfranchised.”
He interrupted: “There are many
factions in the party and at it always returns to the center”
I asked: “Would you agree that the
‘Scoop’ Jackson-style Democrats are marginalized and have little power. Soon
they will be gone and when that happens, American Jews will discover that they
cannot move the party back. They will have no choice but to move with the party
in all matters including Israeli-Arab or Israeli-Iranian conflict. Rest assured
that this movement would involve a significant bent towards acceptance of
anti-Israeli planks in your party platform.”
“Look at the signs,” I continued.
“The creation of a lobbying group by George Soros in counterbalance to AIPAC is
a case in point. If before, the Jewish community spoke with one powerful voice
when it came to Israel, the likes of George Soros and Chaim Saban are likely to
advance a different set of arguments to whoever will be running the United
States, come 2008.”
This angered my acquaintance who
met Mr. Soros personally. “What is wrong with that?” he bellowed. “We are a
free society and anyone can express their views. We are the world’s best know
marketplace of ideas.”
“Well,” I retorted, “all it takes
is one anti-Israel resolution in the UN which the US fails to prevent or, even
worse, votes for it and the end is near.”
“Nonsense!” interrupted my
opponent. “Sheer nonsense!” he repeated for emphasis and said: “First, no UN
resolution critical of Israel is going to put an end to Israel. Second, why
would you think that the US might support it?”
Now came the time for my second
and third arguments. “American society is divided on Bush presidency and the
war in Iraq. But the majority of American Jews vehemently and unswervingly
dislikes George W. Bush.”.
“The man is a moron and a liar.”
responded my acquaintance.
“And you probably can’t even
force yourself to listen to him,” I ventured.
“Right on, pal” he said,
betraying his college vernacular.
“Well, this President happens to
be the greatest and the strongest supporter of Israel”
“So what! This imbecile is
destroying the country. Just look what he does to our civil liberties!”
To my pride I maintained a long
pause and then said slowly: “I cannot argue with you about what you think of the
President. My liberties are in good shape, no worse than under Kennedy or
Johnson,”
“Worse than under Nixon!” he said.
“I doubt it, but the point we
just made is that in the eyes of anyone claiming Presidency after George W,
support for Israel no longer translates into support by American Jews. The
lesson we taught all political contenders is that it is not essential to back
Israel to be liked by Jews and vice-versa.”
This my opponent could not
concede easily: “Not true and Nixon is a case in point. If Israel seeks peace
with its neighbors and continues to live up to its international obligations
anyone who hates or even dislikes it would not be tolerated in our society. His
chances of election would be ‘nil’”.
“I am sure you are aware that you
have just made a conditional statement.” I said in a tone of voice my father
employs when he wants to annoy me. “What if Israel cannot make peace with its
neighbors? What if it becomes aware of an imminent attack and launches a
pre-emptive strike as it did in 1967? What if it cannot put its international
obligations above its duty to survive, then what?”
“What do you think will happen?”
he asked in response. I had no problem to shift gears:
“Well, I do not think necessarily
that an Israel-hater would come to power. The next President of the United
States is likely to be swept into office on the wave of anti-war sentiments.”
“So you agree that the Iraq war
was a huge blunder, that Bush opened a Pandora box and cannot even close it?”
rejoiced my acquaintance.
“Actually, I hate metaphors,” I
said “but I think he opened up a big bag of puss and it will take time before
it drains and heals, but my view is not widely accepted. Anyways, the point is
that in the eyes of many, Israel was either a reason for the war or a
beneficiary of this war. Viscerally, these people connect Israel with an increasingly
unpopular military action and are ready to blame it for anything that goes
slowly or goes wrong in Iraq.”
“That it just too tenuous” he
said.
“I am not saying that the
connection exists for all. But many, including Jewish anti-war establishment
figures, would not hesitate to condemn Israel if a new conflict flares up in
the Middle East.”
“Israel is not a sacred cow to be
above criticism” declared my opponent.
“Right you are, but a cow that is
not sacred can be slaughtered.” I took a cheap shot and decided to draw back a
bit:
“Remember, we are discussing a juxtaposition of events that would
produce this unthinkable result. It does not have to happen. The very purpose
of our dialogue is to see what ‘may’
take place. Just bear with me for a moment. Here are the ten components that might;
I repeat might result in Israel being
wiped out:
- Israel elects a strong leader, like Lieberman, who is
maligned and marginalized in the US media and whom the left loves to hate.
American Jews voice their disagreement with tactics and policies of the
new Israeli government.
- US elects as President a popular anti-war crusader
whose position of pulling out of Iraq and the Middle East is
overwhelmingly supported by the ruling Democratic party.
- Sensing this growing weakness and dissatisfaction and
mindful of the ever strong US reliance on foreign oil, one of the actors
in the Middle East, say Iran, or Syria, directly or by proxy begins to
prepare for a decisive victory over the “Zionist entity” and its
“occupation army.”
- Any debate on the future of the Middle East is in the
context of the best national interests of the US which, as before, require
an uninterrupted supply of Mid-East oil. Israel receives no support from
the majority of American Jews,
- In spite of this, Israel reacts decisively to the
threat of war. UN condemns any preemptive strikes with US voting in favor.
Economic or arms embargo is imposed on Israel immediately.
- It is clear that there shall be no re-supply of
Israel.
- Whether Israel does anything or not, one of the
parties, say Iran, launches a massive rocket attack on Israel using its
offensive conventional weapons. The nuclear shield, if it exists, merely
serves as a deterrent to prevent retaliatory strike.
- The UN deliberates with little or no real input from
the US delegation. Anti-war demonstrations roll through the US in response
to some group calling for US military involvement to save the Jewish
State.
- Israeli major industrial and military centers are
destroyed. Cities lie in ruins.
- Israel capitulates.
“These are just vectors of possibilities,”
I said, seeing that my opponent’s patience was running thin.
He admonished me: “Every American
President since Truman had to deal with the threat of the Arab oil embargo
because of Israel. Every American President resisted this pressure and protected
Israel’s right to exist” he said.” There is nothing that the Arabs could do.”
“I wish you were right in the
future tense” I responded. “In the past there always was a strong
American-Jewish diaspora in America with access to the centers of power which
clearly saw centrality of Israel as an important part of its identity. Not so
now.”
“What kind of BS is that?” he
said in a hurt tone of voice. “Look at our system of self governance. Look at
our network of federations. In less than a week I shall be leading a panel at
the General Assembly. Hundreds of delegates from all over are going to come.
Our community is strong as is our support for Israel.”
“Strong we are, but the
disconnect between American Jews and Israeli Jews is greater than ever before
and growing wider. First, there is no reluctance to demonize Israeli politics
on the part of the left-leaning Jewry and second, the young generation of
Jewish kids couldn’t care less. ” I replied.
“Wait a minute!” protested my
acquaintance. “The kids are all pro-Israel. Look at the rallies we had when
Israeli soldiers were captured by Hamas and Hezbollah. Most of the faces were
under 25.”
“How many young Jews in America
would you say consider Israel an important part of their identity?” I asked.
“I think a lot, maybe 70, maybe
even 80 percent” he ventured a guess.
“That is not true. A recent
analysis by American Jewish Committee summarized findings of surveys of 1, 5
million young Americans (20’s to 30s) and it found that Israel was not a
central component in their identity, placing 11th out of 15
components. The upshot is that the younger the people, the less sympathy they
feel for Israel.”
“I have not heard of this study,”
said my acquaintance shaking his head.
“Well, just check with the AJC
and while you are at it, look into the study by the Institute for Jewish and
Community Research that found that for American college and university faculty
members US is the second most dangerous country in the world (North Korea is
the first).
“I can’t blame them, to be quite
honest”: my opponent smiled, possible indicating that he was not prepared to
defend this point.
I charged: “Really! Do you also
see US as more dangerous to world stability than Iran (Iran comes close
third)?”
“No, of course not,” admitted my
opponent. I was right – he thought it was a hyperbole.
“This is not a rhetorical
exaggeration,” I said, “the study showed that nearly half of those teaching
humanities (46%) and more than a third teaching social sciences believe that US
is a greater threat to world peace than any other country (again trailing North
Korea). About 12 % of faculty perceives Israel as a great threat to
international stability – more than Syria (7%) or Russia (4%).
“That’s not good.” commented my
acquaintance.
“It is rather bad.” I agreed. “Add
the two and two together and you get a startling figure of American students
being educated by 41 percent of teachers who believe that the United States and
Israel combined are the most dangerous countries in the world. Would you
support such an alliance if that was what you were taught?”
My opponent hesitated then said:”
Figures lie and besides, this is no proof of how students would vote or what
they would do in the event tensions escalate in the Middle East?” He looked at
me with obvious distaste and continued: “I see that what you are trying to
convince me of is an immediate disaster but I see none of this happening to the
extent that you do. Worst case scenario – Israel gets bloodied a bit but the
country will survive. You are just an alarmist.”
“Again,” I repeated, thinking how
Kissinger waited to warn arrogant Israelis about the impending attack on Yom
Kippur until it was almost too late, – and said: “all we are talking is trends.
The process is glacial until it shapes up. Besides, you are not responding to
the specifics, and platitudes do not help one who wants to see the shape of
things to come. Let us take a look at yet another dimension.”
“Which is what?” he asked,
possibly losing interest.
“We must look at the fundamental
belief system of those who confront Israel and the US”
“I am not sure I understand what you are talking about. Are you
saying that we would abandon Israel over Arab oil?”
“Oh no, that is an issue of
national priorities and not an individual one. Our individual system of values
has at its core two beliefs: One - every life is sacred and two – subject to
the rule of law, each person has autonomy over his or her actions. The Muslim
world’s system of values is different – it rests on two symmetrically opposite
propositions. First, infidels spread
spiritual and physical uncleanliness and second Koran obligates every faithful Muslim
to stop the infidel’s sacral
uncleanliness by conversion or annihilation.”
My interlocutor regained his
interest: “I understand, but this applies to only a radical fringe of Muslims
-- the bulk of Muslim population consists of decent and normal people. They
want peace for themselves and their children no less than we do. We should be
orienting ourselves towards them – not towards the fanatics. Calling these
people Islamo-fascists as your
beloved President did recently did not help”
I felt that we are moving away
from the main theme but I started this. I had to get us back but I said: “The
bulk of ‘decent’ Muslims voted for Ahmadinejad
in Iran and Hamas in Palestinian State. Look at the European
Muslims. Your position is at odds with evidence. As far as children are
concerned, do you remember Golda Meir’s famous statement that peace would come
to the Middle East only when Arabs would love their children more than they
hated the Jews?”
“Yes, of course, I know the
aphorism, but the Israelis should be more responsible contributors to the peace
process. Diplomacy is a much better alternative than air raids and cluster
bombs that are still maiming kids in Lebanon.” he retorted.
I was getting angry with my
inability to bring up what seemed to be the core issue. “And you believe that
there is symmetry between our values and the Islamic moral universe?”
“Of course, I do. What is more, I
believe that fundamentally it is the right wing in Israeli politics, like this
Lieberman fellow, who wishes to show that it is not so.”
I took the bait: “So, it is
Lieberman who invented intifada and
it is he and those like him who brought upon Israel a barrage of suicide
bombers and it is he who insists that Middle East would be free of Jews…”
He waived his hands at me. “Stop,
stop! I never said such outrageous things and you know it. What I am saying is
that the peace process is preferable to war. Israel is on the war path and
there is a better way.”
“So the old Latin maxim: ‘Para pacem para bellum’ no longer
applies?
“Please remind me what it says?”
“It says that if you wish for peace,
you prepare for war, and we, American Jews, are not prepared to go to war for
what we would consider is a war for Israel, especially in support of a
right-wing Israeli government. The question will not be put before us in black
and white but we shall continuously signal our unwillingness to do so.”
There was silence and so I
continued: “In any event, your belief that the entire world accepts the notions
of sanctity of life and freedom of person and conscience is just plain wrong.
The Muslim world as we know it rejects these notions. Most importantly, my
point is this: any confrontation puts these conflicting values to test.”
My opponent waived me away: “I
cannot agree with your pessimism. Democratic values are strong, much stronger
than you concede. The notions of freedom, of tolerance, of human dignity –
these are powerful weapons in our arsenal. Please do not underestimate them.”
I paused to make my point: “Our
humanistic values will prevail: Americans, Jews and non-Jews, shall act
strategically to avoid or limit a possibility of bloodshed and casualties. Given
other factors we spoke about, we shall support every non-violent strategy. The
Muslims shall act to prevail and thus inflict the greatest human loss without
fear, restraint or hesitation. Just look at the deadly score between Sunnis and
Shiites. ”
“This does not mean ‘abandoning
Israel’ he reacted. “This means promoting peace. Why are you bringing this up?”
asked my opponent getting up.
“Because this is exactly what it
will be. You just cannot accept the fact that there are no benefits of peace
for the other side.” I stayed put. And then continued watching him pace.
“Don’t you think that everyone knows
this and plans accordingly? Don’t you realize that when strategic planners in
Lebanon, Syria or Iran analyze our responses they know the limits of what we
shall do if they take up on Israel? They will know that American Jews will go
with the mainstream and that mainstream America will not dare to suffer or to
inflict casualties on them in order to protect Israel.”
“We have no fear of inflicting harm
on those who threaten us directly but are you saying that we shall hesitate to
do so if Israel is attacked?” said my acquaintance.
“Now you got it! But it would be
the Russian Jews in America who will come forward and ,,,” My voice trailed and
we looked at each other as if this were a joke and laughed.
"He was still chuckling but I wanted to drive the point
home:
"It's not just us, the Russian-speaking Jews, its everyone who is not the
mainstream: the Persian Jews, the Orthodox, the Chabadniks, even the
Evangelical Christians who will do the impossible...
"And what is that?" he asked as we both rose to
leave.
"I don't know for sure." I confessed, "but I
think it will involve God. Even in the Egypt of Pharaoh not everyone cried out
to Him for help."
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